Week 13 - ACL Power Rankings

Week 13 Power Rankings:

Different playoff scenarios abound as we head into the last week of the regular season. 8 of the 12 teams still have a shot at postseason play with 0 teams having their playoff seed clinched yet. Below is each team’s seeding possibilities. Teams are ranked by what seed they are most likely to be. After the list of rankings, there is additional data that is helpful to know going into the final week.

    1.    Maryland: 10-2 (1)

1 seed (Atlantic Champ) = Win.

5 seed (WC) = Lose.

    2.    Arizona: 7-5 (4)

2 seed (Pacific Champ) = Win.

6 seed (SWC)  = Lose and SD wins and AZA outscores CAP (+40) and DUCK (+90).

Miss Playoffs = Lose and SD loses and DUCK wins OR lose and outscored by CAP or DUCK.

    3.    South Dakota: 7-5 (2)

2 seed = Win and AZA loses OR Lose and DUCK loses and AZA loses and MN loses.

3 seed = Win and AZA wins OR Lose and DUCK loses and AZA wins or MN wins. 

4 seed = Lose and DUCK loses and AZA wins and MN wins.

6 seed = Lose and DUCK wins.

    4.    Minnesota: 7-5 (5)

2 seed (Great Lakes Champ)= Win and AZA loses and SD loses.

3 seed (Great Lakes Champ)= Anything else

4 seed (Great Lakes Champ)= Lose and AZA wins OR AZA wins and SD wins.

    5.    Virginia: 10-2 (3)

1 seed (Atlantic Champ) = Win.

5 seed (WC)= Lose.

    6.    California: 6-6 (7)

6 seed (SWC) = Win and outscore AZA (-40) (if AZA loses) and outscore DUCK (+50) and DUCK loses OR Lose and outscore AZA (if AZA loses) and outscore DUCK.

Miss the playoffs = Win and DUCK wins OR Lose and be outscored by AZA (if AZA loses) or be outscored by DUCK.

    7.    Washington: 7-5 (6)

4 seed (High Plains Champ) = Win and SD loses.

6 seed (SWC) = Lose and SD Loses and DUCK outscores AZA (-90) (if AZA loses) and CAP (-50) OR Win and SD wins and outscores AZA (if AZA loses) and outscores CAP.

Miss the playoffs = Lose and outscored by AZA (if AZA loses) or outscored by CAP OR Win and outscored by AZA (if AZA loses) or outscored by CAP and SD wins

    8.    Hawaii: 6-6 (9)

3 seed (Pacific Champ) = Win and WAS wins and SD loses

4 seed (Pacific Champ) = Win and SD wins OR Win and SD loses and WAS loses.

Miss the playoffs = Lose

    9.    Ohio: 5-7 (10)

Eliminated from playoff contention. 

A win for IOWA and loss for SIR doubles SIR’s lottery balls.

    10.    Iowa: 4-8 (8)

Eliminated from playoff contention.

A win for IOWA and loss for SIR cuts IOWA’s lottery balls in half.

    11.    Wisconsin: 1-11 (12)

Eliminated from playoff contention.

Loser of WISC and VFT will have highest number of lottery balls (both picks already traded).

    12.    Vermont: 2-10 (11)

Eliminated from playoff contention 

Loser of WISC and VFT will have highest number of lottery balls (both picks already traded).

Division Winners Seeding Tiebreakers:

AZA:

Beat SD MN DUCK

SD:

Beat MN HI

Lost to AZA

MN:

Beat HI DUCK

Lost to AZA SD

HI:

Beat DUCK

Lost to SD MN

DUCK:

Lost to AZA MN HI

High Plains Tiebreaker:

Both win: SD wins by Points For.

Both lose: SD wins by division record.

Pacific Tiebreaker

3 way tie: HI wins by H2H record against CAP and Division record over AZA

Playoff spot clinched:

Maryland 

Virginia 

Minnesota

South Dakota

Potential SWC Teams (points for):

South Dakota (1757)

Arizona (1604)

California (1564)

Washington (1515)

Other Potential Playoff Teams:

Hawaii

Eliminated Teams:

Ohio

Iowa

Vermont

Wisconsin